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Daily FX Focus

12 September 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

  • Investment involves risk.  It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become valueless and you may not get back the amountoriginally invested.
  • Past performance contained in this document is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
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EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1611 / 1.1817 ⬆

EUR rose against the dollar yesterday, boosted by in weaker dollar across the board after the highest jobless claims in nearly four years. The ECB kept the deposit rate at 2% in September meeting and said future monetary policy decisions will depend on data. EURUSD rose 0.33% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 9.14 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3405 / 1.3665 ⬆

GBP edged higher against the dollar yesterday, as the greenback reversed its gains on account of lower treasury yields and higher than expected jobless claims. GBPUSD rose 0.33% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.57 level.

AUD

vs USD  0.6522 / 0.6730  ⬆

Support / Resistance

AUD advanced against the dollar yesterday, reaching a 10-months high supported by weaker dollar after US CPI came in slightly higher than estimate meanwhile jobless claims reached nearly 4 years high. AUDUSD rose 0.70% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.18 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5867 / 0.6030 ⬆

NZD strengthened against the dollar yesterday as the greenback softens after the recent release of the U.S. inflation & disappointing jobless claims. NZDUSD rose 0.61% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.65 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3739 / 1.3905 ⬇

CAD strengthened against the dollar yesterday after the dollar weakens due to the signs of US labor market weakness, putting more future US rates cut more probable. USDCAD fell 0.22% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.62 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  145.95 / 148.79 ⬆

JPY climbed against the dollar yesterday, due to increased selling pressure on the Dollar after U.S. jobless claims rose to 263,000, the highest reading so far this year. Investors are now closely awaiting the Japanese July Industrial Production data due later today. USDJPY fell 0.17% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.29 level.

Data source: Refinitiv, dated 12 September 2025 before 9:30 am

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Terminology

‘Support level’ is the level where the exchange rate tends to find support as it is going down i.e. market participants tend to see value at these levels and price is more likely to bounce up rather than go lower.

‘Resistance level’ is the level where it tends to find resistance as it is going up i.e. market participants tend to consider this as a ceiling and prevent prices from going up further.

We derive the support and resistance level using ‘Pivot Points’ which takes into account the high, low and close prices in the prior period of 15 days. *Please note that the indicative support and resistance level are given for general reference only. Customers should not rely on this information to buy or sell currency.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is a technical momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an asset. The scale is 0 - 100 and typically overbought conditions are indicated by readings >70 and oversold conditions when <30.

Moving average: Is an indicator frequently used in technical analysis showing the average value of a currency’s price over a set period. Moving averages are generally used to measure momentum and define areas of possible support and resistance. Moving averages are used to emphasize the direction of a trend and to smooth out price and volume fluctuations, or ‘noise’, that can confuse interpretation.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : is a type of oscillator that can measure market momentum as well as follow or indicate the trend. The convention for the MACD analysis is to use an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). MACD consists of two lines, the MACD Line and the Signal Line. The MACD Line measures the difference between a short moving average and a long moving average. The Signal Line is a moving average of the MACD Line.

This information is only for a reference and does not represent recommendation from HSBC for customer to buy or sell based on the information provided.Customer should not rely on the views or information expressed in this document solely to make investment decisions. HSBC shall not be held liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Customer should make his/her buy and sell decision based on his/her own view. Also, past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Disclaimer

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The contents of this document are subject to change without notice. Some of the information in this document is derived from third party sources as specified at the relevant places where such information is set out. The Bank believes such information to be reliable but it has not independently verified.

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Issued by HSBC Bank (China) Company Limited