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Daily FX Focus

5 Jun 2025

Important Risk Disclosure

  • Investment involves risk.  It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become valueless and you may not get back the amountoriginally invested.
  • Past performance contained in this document is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
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EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.1213 / 1.1538 ⬆

EUR rose against the dollar yesterday as the USD eased broadly. Market thinks the ECB is almost certain to cut interest rates again today and keep all options on the table for subsequent meetings. EURUSD rose 0.40% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.95 level. 

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3338 / 1.3684  ⬆

GBP rose against the US dollar yesterday after PMI survey showed UK services sector returns to growth. Sterling was also supported by the recent UK-US trade deal which keeps Britain removed from the front line of the Trump trade war. GBPUSD rose 0.27% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.63 level.

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.6404 / 0.6555  ⬆

AUD ended higher against the US dollar yesterday. Australia's muted Q1 economic growth signals need for more stimulus. Australia’s trade balance data today could provide additional insight into the export industry under tariffs. AUDUSD rose 0.46% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.08 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.5907 / 0.6099 ⬆ 

NZD ended stronger against the US dollar yesterday as the USD fell against a basket of currencies on weak jobs and services data. Meanwhile, Trump said his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping was tough and "extremely hard to make a deal with". NZDUSD rose 0.48% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.72 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  1.3552 / 1.3897 ⬆

CAD rose against the US dollar yesterday as the USD eased across the board. Overnight Bank of Canada holds key rate steady but says a future cut is possible. USDCAD fell 0.31% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.73 level.

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD  141.15 / 145.33 ⬆

JPY strengthened yesterday as the USD and US treasury yields fell. Japan's junior ruling coalition partner, Komeito, propose cutting the consumption tax rate for food items to 5% in a campaign pledge for the upper house election slated in July. USDJPY fell 0.83% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 5.49 level.

Data source: Refinitiv, dated 5 Jun 2025 before 9:30 am

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Terminology

‘Support level’ is the level where the exchange rate tends to find support as it is going down i.e. market participants tend to see value at these levels and price is more likely to bounce up rather than go lower.

‘Resistance level’ is the level where it tends to find resistance as it is going up i.e. market participants tend to consider this as a ceiling and prevent prices from going up further.

We derive the support and resistance level using ‘Pivot Points’ which takes into account the high, low and close prices in the prior period of 15 days. *Please note that the indicative support and resistance level are given for general reference only. Customers should not rely on this information to buy or sell currency.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is a technical momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an asset. The scale is 0 - 100 and typically overbought conditions are indicated by readings >70 and oversold conditions when <30.

Moving average: Is an indicator frequently used in technical analysis showing the average value of a currency’s price over a set period. Moving averages are generally used to measure momentum and define areas of possible support and resistance. Moving averages are used to emphasize the direction of a trend and to smooth out price and volume fluctuations, or ‘noise’, that can confuse interpretation.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) : is a type of oscillator that can measure market momentum as well as follow or indicate the trend. The convention for the MACD analysis is to use an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). MACD consists of two lines, the MACD Line and the Signal Line. The MACD Line measures the difference between a short moving average and a long moving average. The Signal Line is a moving average of the MACD Line.

This information is only for a reference and does not represent recommendation from HSBC for customer to buy or sell based on the information provided.Customer should not rely on the views or information expressed in this document solely to make investment decisions. HSBC shall not be held liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Customer should make his/her buy and sell decision based on his/her own view. Also, past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Disclaimer

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